Vigilia.
The warnings
Extinction riskAcademiaSenior Researcher, Oxford Martin AI Governance Initiative, University of Oxford4 entries on the record

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Toby Ord

Toby Ord is an Oxford philosopher, author of The Precipice and founder of Giving What We Can, who studies existential risk and now researches AI governance, warning that a single misaligned model could compromise every system it helps build.

Roles

  1. 2009presentFounder, Giving What We CanAlso co-founded the effective altruism movement.Source
  2. 20142019Research Fellow, Future of Humanity Institute, University of OxfordSource
  3. 20192024Senior Research Fellow, Future of Humanity Institute, University of OxfordThe institute closed in 2024.Source
  4. 2024presentSenior Researcher, Oxford Martin AI Governance Initiative, University of OxfordAlso on the board of the Centre for the Governance of AI and a research affiliate at Forethought.Source

On the record

  1. 2 Jul 2026 · Podcast · 80,000 Hours Podcast

    If you imagine producing one AI system, let's call it GPT-7 and then that produces GPT-8, which produces GPT-9 and 10, and so on. If any of those in that line were to be misaligned, and to be able to scheme about what they want to achieve, then they would have an incentive to misalign the systems that they were building.

    Senior Researcher, Oxford Martin AI Governance Initiative, University of Oxford at the time

    Toby Ord on where AGI timelines go wrong

  2. 9 Mar 2026 · Post · tobyord.com

    We're in a race against AI timelines. It is just that we don't know if that race is a sprint or a marathon.

    Senior Researcher, Oxford Martin AI Governance Initiative, University of Oxford at the time

    Broad Timelines

  3. 12 Jul 2024 · Post · tobyord.com

    Existential risk from AI had finally gone from a speculative academic concern to a major new topic in global governance.

    Senior Researcher, Oxford Martin AI Governance Initiative, University of Oxford at the time

    Four-year update to the book; he judges climate risk down, nuclear up, and pandemics and AI mixed.

    The Precipice Revisited

  4. Mar 2020 · Book · Bloomsbury

    With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, gaining the power to destroy ourselves, without the wisdom to ensure we won't. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pandemics and unaligned artificial intelligence.

    Senior Research Fellow, Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford at the time

    The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity