Vigilia.
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Extinction riskAcademiaFounder and Principal Researcher, Macrostrategy Research Initiative4 entries on the record

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Nick Bostrom

Oxford philosopher whose 2014 book Superintelligence framed AI as an existential risk, who now argues from the Macrostrategy Research Initiative that never building superintelligence would itself be a catastrophe.

Roles

  1. 20002002Lecturer, Department of Philosophy, Yale UniversitySource
  2. 2005Apr 2024Founding Director, Future of Humanity Institute, University of OxfordThe institute was closed by the university on 16 April 2024.Source
  3. 20082024Professor, Faculty of Philosophy, University of OxfordSource
  4. 2024presentFounder and Principal Researcher, Macrostrategy Research InitiativeSource

On the record

  1. 2026 · Paper · nickbostrom.com (working paper)

    Developing superintelligence is not like playing Russian roulette; it is more like undergoing risky surgery for a condition that will otherwise prove fatal.

    Founder and Principal Researcher, Macrostrategy Research Initiative at the time

    Working paper v1.0, circulating by February 2026; argues for "swift to harbor, slow to berth" and warns that poorly implemented pauses could do more harm than good.

    Optimal Timing for Superintelligence: Mundane Considerations for Existing People

  2. 25 Mar 2025 · Interview · Science, Technology & the Future (Adam Ford)

    Developing superintelligence is associated with significant existential risks. … It would be in itself an existential catastrophe if we forever failed to develop superintelligence.

    Founder and Principal Researcher, Macrostrategy Research Initiative at the time

    Transcribed interview; captures his post-FHI position that risk cuts both ways.

    Nick Bostrom: Failure to Develop Superintelligence Would Be a Catastrophe

  3. 27 Dec 2024 · Interview · American Enterprise Institute

    both extremely good and extremely bad outcomes are possible, and we are a bit in the dark.

    Founder and Principal Researcher, Macrostrategy Research Initiative at the time

    On the publication of Deep Utopia; he added that an intelligence explosion "next year" cannot be ruled out.

    Life in an AI Utopia: A Quick Q&A With Futurist and Philosopher Nick Bostrom

  4. 2014 · Book · Oxford University Press

    Superintelligence is a challenge for which we are not ready now and will not be ready for a long time

    Professor, Faculty of Philosophy, University of Oxford at the time

    Quoted verbatim in Reason's September 2014 review of the book; he also calls it "the most important and most daunting challenge humanity has ever faced".

    Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies