Marcus Williams

Mitarbeiter im technischen Stab des Safety-Oversight-Teams von OpenAI, der die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Auslöschung der Menschheit binnen drei Jahren ohne Regulierung oder Verlangsamung auf 70 % bezifferte und eine solche Regulierung oder Verlangsamung gleichzeitig für sehr möglich hält — die höchste Zahl in diesem Register.

Rollen

Mai 2025 – heuteMember of technical staff, Safety Oversight team, OpenAITwo pages attest the role independently: the source calls him "a member of technical staff on OpenAI's Safety Oversight team" and says he "joined the company in May 2025", and GNcrypto calls him "a member of OpenAI's Safety Oversight team" and says "Williams joined OpenAI in May 2025". The month is as precise as either page gets.Quelle →

Im Verzeichnis

10. Sept. 2026 · Beitrag · X
70% in the next 3 years if there isn’t regulation/slowdown although i think regulation/slowdown is very possible.
Member of technical staff, Safety Oversight team, OpenAI zu jener Zeit
His own estimate of the odds of human extinction, and the register's highest. The figure is conditional and the hedge sits inside the sentence, so the sentence is carried whole. Both reporting pages record that he posted the warning first and supplied the percentage only after another user turned it into a wager, offering $10,000 in Microsoft shares against OpenAI stock over five years; one of them makes the point itself, that "the hedge matters as much as the number". The lowercase "i" and the slashes are his. The date is the source's, which prints that he wrote on X on September 10, 2026; the post is not sourced here to X itself. The syndication at Yahoo carries the identical sentence with a straight apostrophe and no terminal full stop, which is how the post reads where it is reproduced rather than re-typeset.
OpenAI safety staffer gives 70% extinction odds in 3 years →